The Wall Street Journal reported today that in major markets across the country, home sales are deteriorating, inventories of unsold homes are piling up and builders continue to scale back.
In June, single family housing starts fell by .07% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 454,000 units. Compare that to 1.47 million starts in 2006. A million less homes this year!!! And it doesn’t take much imagination to realize what this does to the ancillary markets, e.g., building materials, appliances, home furnishings and on and on.
Unfortunately, without sustained job growth, the housing market likely won’t improve. In fact, the WSJ goes on to say that in the 28 major markets surveyed, inventory levels were growing and even falling interest rates haven’t been enough to whet consumer appetites for housing.
Another dynamic worth noting is the falling number of at risk borrowers recieving government backed loan modifications. In fact, just last month 90,000 borrowers fell out of the program.
Finally, the trade up market has been severely damaged because many of the existing home owners are under water (or who owe more that their homes are worth) and are not willing to come up with the cash needed to close their home. This segment of the market, dominated for years by the “baby boomers” was a real main stay in our residential markets.
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